← Whimsy RDO Store Championships
Water Crux MageTier 2
at Whimsy RDO Store Championships
decks
1
(2.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.6%
avg ELO -0.8 per match
expected value
47.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1427
· median 1427
· range 1427–1427
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1156
Q1 1280
Q3 1449
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 9.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.2 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.3 |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exalted Mordred | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Nico | 2.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
